Local Election Analysis:
Reflecting on 2024's Results
I wanted to take a moment to share a breakdown of the 2024 State House race (84th district) data—highlighting both our progress and the areas where we need to push harder.
Comparing this year’s results to the 2020 presidential cycle, both Republicans and Democrats faced lower voter turnout. By my estimates (accounting for some changes in district maps), our campaign saw about a 3% drop in raw voter count, while the Republican side experienced a roughly 8% decrease.
When we look at the 2022 State House race numbers, there’s a different story to tell: Our Democratic campaign increased our raw vote count by 14.8%. However, our overall percentage of the vote dipped by 1.85%. Why? The reality is that the Republican candidate made even larger gains, with a 25.47% increase in voter turnout.
How does this compare to presidential voting patterns? In 2020, Joe Biden's raw vote count in our district increased 11.78% over Hillary Clinton’s 2016 numbers, while Donald Trump saw a 9.76% increase from 2016 to 2020. For the 2024 election, turnout decreased for both presidential candidates: Kamala Harris saw a 4.81% drop from Biden’s 2020 count, and Trump experienced a 0.29% decline from his own previous numbers.
The takeaway: I'm analyzing every number, celebrating every gain, and learning from every shortfall. Together, we’ll strategize for even better results in 2026. This campaign has always been about progress—and that mission continues.